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Connelly Early

#19 - Starting Pitcher

Washington Nationals

Bats / Throws Left / Left
Date of Birth 4/3/2002 (24)
Height, Weight 6'3", 195 lb
Hometown Midlothian, VA

2026 Season Stats

MLB Rank MLB Average
W-L IP ERA WHIP K% BB%
7-5 94.2 3.33 1.23 23.5% 8.5%
89th 7
W
146th 122.0
IP
38th 4.26
ERA
75th 1.30
WHIP
67th 21.7%
K%
112th 8.4%
BB%
FB MPH SwStr% CSW% Str-ICR MTK% PLV PLA
94.0 11.0% 28.4% 51.9% 3.4% 4.93 3.50
111th 94.3
FB MPH
112th 11.6%
SwStr%
70th 27.8%
CSW%
56th 50.3%
Str-ICR
20th 4.9%
MTK%
130th 4.98
PLV
132nd 3.29
PLA

Articles

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Connelly Early Overview

Hide 2026 MLB Percentile | Hide 2026 MLB Average
Year Team G GS IP W-L QS ERA WHIP xERA FIP xFIP PLA K% BB% H/9 HR/9 BABIP HR/FB% LOB% ICR% GB% SwStr% CSW% IPR% PLV
2025 BOS 4 4 19.1 1-2 0 2.33 1.09 1.48 0.88 2.55 2.80 36.7% 5.1% 7.9 0.00 .378 0.0% 72.7% 40.0% 46.7% 17.3% 30.7% 0.62 5.19
2026 BOS/WSH 18 18 94.2 7-5 7 3.33 1.23 3.75 4.54 4.17 3.50 23.5% 8.5% 7.8 1.43 .271 22.4% 86.5% 36.5% 44.4% 11.0% 28.4% 0.51 4.93
SP MLB Percentile 19 33 27 48-68 51 81 60 76 34 56 34 65 43 66 28 71 24 99 69 60 42 64 68 32
SP MLB AVG 25 21 122.0 7-7 8 4.26 1.30 4.36 4.25 4.20 3.29 21.7% 8.4% 8.4 1.22 .287 18.9% 72.9% 38.3% 43.2% 11.6% 27.8% 0.48 4.98
Career 22 22 114.0 8-7 7 3.16 1.20 3.36 3.92 3.89 3.38 25.7% 7.9% 7.8 1.18 .288 18.8% 84.1% 37.0% 44.8% 12.1% 28.8% 0.53 4.98

Connelly Early Repertoire

2025 2026 All
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Connelly Early Game Log

Connelly Early Standard

Hide 2026 MLB Percentile | Hide 2026 MLB Average
Year Team G GS IP W-L QS Sv Hld P Strikes Balls TBF H 1B 2B 3B HR K BB HB WP
2025 BOS 4 4 19.1 1-2 0 0 0 323 208 115 79 17 16 1 0 0 29 4 1 0
2026 BOS/WSH 18 18 94.2 7-5 7 0 0 1,562 1,002 561 400 82 55 12 0 15 94 34 9 4
SP MLB Percentile 19 33 27 48-68 51 0 0 27 27 72 28 72 72 78 77 52 36 66 12 22
SP MLB AVG 25 21 122.0 7-7 8 0 0 2,010 1,287 723 518 114 74 22 2 16 113 42 5 3
Career 22 22 114.0 8-7 7 0 0 1,885 1,210 676 479 99 71 13 0 15 123 38 10 4

Connelly Early Advanced

Hide 2026 MLB Percentile | Hide 2026 MLB Average
Year Team K% BB% AVG SLG OPS wOBA BABIP BACON xAVG xwOBA xBABIP xwoBACON EV FB EV LA xERA
2025 BOS 36.7% 5.1% .230 .243 .521 .239 .378 .378 .166 .190 .273 .255 87.9 85.7 16.9 1.48
2026 BOS/WSH 23.5% 8.5% .232 .393 .706 .314 .271 .313 .212 .303 .245 .345 89.5 91.8 12.7 3.75
SP MLB Percentile 65 43 67 60 59 55 71 59 89 76 96 80 16 16 61 76
SP MLB AVG 21.7% 8.4% .245 .407 .723 .318 .287 .321 .246 .324 .285 .373 88.3 89.8 13.8 4.36
Career 25.7% 7.9% .231 .367 .675 .302 .288 .322 .204 .285 .250 .332 89.2 90.8 13.3 3.36

Connelly Early Pitch › Mix

Hide 2026 MLB Percentile | Hide 2026 MLB Average
Year Team FF% (MPH) SI% (MPH) FC% (MPH) SL% (MPH) ST% (MPH) CB% (MPH) CH% (MPH) FS% (MPH) KN% (MPH) Fastball% Secondary%
2025 BOS29.4% (94.0)12.7% (93.0)-12.1% (86.5)5.3% (82.6)21.1% (80.7)19.5% (84.0)-- 42.1% 57.9%
2026 BOS/WSH35.0% (94.0)20.1% (92.4)-7.9% (87.1)8.0% (82.5)10.8% (80.0)18.2% (83.7)-- 55.1% 44.9%
SP MLB Percentile 53 (44) 56 (25) - 19 (64) 23 (54) 40 (47) 60 (19) - - 85.6% 13.9%
SP MLB AVG 34.3% (94.3) 19.8% (93.7) 16.6% (89.3) 17.5% (86.2) 16.4% (82.1) 13.9% (80.2) 16.5% (86.1) 17.7% (86.2) 30.1% (80.5) 46.5% 53.4%
Career34.0% (94.0)18.8% (92.5)-8.7% (86.9)7.5% (82.5)12.6% (80.2)18.4% (83.8)-- 52.8% 47.2%

Connelly Early Pitch › Results

Hide 2026 MLB Percentile | Hide 2026 MLB Average
Year Team FF CSW% SI CSW% FC CSW% SL CSW% ST CSW% CB CSW% CH CSW% FS CSW% KN CSW% Fastball CSW% Secondary CSW%
2025 BOS30.5% (12)39.0% (7)-35.9% (6)70.6% (9)27.9% (13)14.3% (9)-- 33.1% 28.9%
2026 BOS/WSH28.8% (66)30.9% (15)-34.7% (16)34.4% (26)27.2% (15)20.1% (34)-- 29.5% 26.9%
SP MLB Percentile 68 (63) 84 (43) - 89 (31) 86 (54) 29 (38) 27 (55) - - 79.7% 37.1%
SP MLB AVG 27.2% (65) 26.9% (21) 26.9% (26) 27.8% (42) 27.9% (31) 29.9% (30) 23.0% (42) 22.3% (48) 25.5% (21) 27.4% 28.0%
Career29.0% (78)31.8% (22)-35.0% (22)38.7% (35)27.4% (28)19.0% (43)-- 30.0% 27.3%

Connelly Early Batted Ball › Contact

Hide 2026 MLB Percentile | Hide 2026 MLB Average
Year Team GB% LD% FB% PU% SS% Pull% Cent% Oppo% Foul Str% PC% Fl&B% Solid% Brl% ICR%
2025 BOS 46.7% 15.6% 28.9% 8.9% 28.9% 53.3% 31.1% 15.6% 19.8% 60.0% 31.1% 4.4% 4.4% 40.0%
2026 BOS/WSH 44.4% 19.9% 25.7% 10.0% 34.1% 43.3% 37.3% 19.4% 19.0% 63.2% 20.7% 6.5% 9.6% 36.5%
SP MLB Percentile 60 78 71 52 67 55 91 6 64 68 94 36 11 69
SP MLB AVG 43.2% 22.1% 24.6% 10.1% 35.6% 42.7% 33.1% 24.2% 18.3% 61.6% 24.8% 6.1% 7.5% 38.3%
Career 44.8% 19.3% 26.1% 9.8% 33.3% 44.8% 36.4% 18.8% 19.1% 62.8% 22.2% 6.2% 8.8% 37.0%

Connelly Early Batted Ball › Outcomes

Hide 2026 MLB Percentile | Hide 2026 MLB Average
Year Team AVG wOBA BABIP BACON xAVG xwOBA xBABIP xwoBACON EV FB EV LA HR/FB ICR% IPA%
2025 BOS .230 .239 .378 .378 .166 .190 .273 .255 87.9 85.7 16.9 0.0% 40.0% 22.8%
2026 BOS/WSH .232 .314 .271 .313 .212 .303 .245 .345 89.5 91.8 12.7 22.4% 36.5% 24.0%
SP MLB Percentile 67 55 71 59 89 76 96 80 16 16 61 24 69 74
SP MLB AVG .245 .318 .287 .321 .246 .324 .285 .373 88.3 89.8 13.8 18.9% 38.3% 26.3%
Career .231 .302 .288 .322 .204 .285 .250 .332 89.2 90.8 13.3 18.8% 37.0% 23.8%

Connelly Early Approach › Plate Discipline

Hide 2026 MLB Percentile | Hide 2026 MLB Average
Year Team Zone% Str% Swing% O-Sw% Whiff% Foul Str% Con% Z-Con% O-Con% CS% SwStr% CSW% BIP% PLUS% IPR% Str-ICR
2025 BOS 44.9% 64.4% 51.1% 37.1% 33.9% 19.8% 66.1% 75.8% 51.5% 13.3% 17.3% 30.7% 13.9% 59.1% 0.62 53.3%
2026 BOS/WSH 43.4% 64.1% 46.8% 32.6% 23.5% 19.0% 76.5% 86.9% 60.4% 17.3% 11.0% 28.4% 16.8% 58.9% 0.51 51.9%
SP MLB Percentile 29 56 38 60 44 64 44 34 47 75 42 64 30 63 68 72
SP MLB AVG 44.8% 63.9% 47.7% 31.9% 24.3% 18.3% 75.7% 85.2% 59.4% 16.2% 11.6% 27.8% 17.7% 58.2% 0.48 50.3%
Career 43.7% 64.2% 47.5% 33.3% 25.4% 19.1% 74.6% 84.9% 58.8% 16.7% 12.1% 28.8% 16.3% 58.9% 0.53 52.1%

Connelly Early Approach › Locations

Hide 2026 MLB Percentile | Hide 2026 MLB Average
Year Team Zone% aLoc% x-mLoc% gLoc% hiLoc% y-mLoc% loLoc% iLoc% oLoc% mmLoc%
2025 BOS 44.9% 42.4% 23.8% 33.7% 25.4% 27.9% 46.7% 32.2% 44.0% 6.5%
2026 BOS/WSH 43.4% 39.7% 24.7% 35.6% 34.4% 24.8% 40.8% 33.2% 42.1% 7.0%
SP MLB Percentile 29 76 87 46 42 13 43 87 35 70
SP MLB AVG 44.8% 36.0% 27.5% 36.5% 35.3% 22.7% 42.0% 28.9% 43.7% 6.5%
Career 43.7% 40.2% 24.6% 35.3% 32.8% 25.3% 41.9% 33.1% 42.4% 6.9%

Connelly Early Approach › Counts

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Year Team Early% Behind% 2-Str% Early BIP% F-Str% TF-Str% ECS% 2-Str O-Sw% PAR%
2025 BOS 59.4% 10.8% 29.7% 9.9% 59.5% 50.6% 15.6% 40.6% 30.2%
2026 BOS/WSH 58.3% 11.9% 30.0% 15.1% 61.0% 50.8% 22.7% 30.3% 20.1%
SP MLB Percentile 39 45 55 49 44 56 80 88 67
SP MLB AVG 58.6% 11.9% 29.7% 15.1% 61.7% 50.2% 20.9% 26.8% 18.7%
Career 58.5% 11.7% 29.9% 14.2% 60.8% 50.7% 21.5% 32.1% 21.8%

Connelly Early PLV

Hide 2026 MLB Percentile | Hide 2026 MLB Average
Year Team P PLV QP% AP% BP% Q-BP% MTK% HP HL PLA
2025 BOS 323 5.19 51.4% 18.3% 30.3% 21.1% 2.2% -1.9 +1 2.80
2026 BOS/WSH 1,562 4.93 46.2% 18.1% 35.7% 10.5% 3.4% 1.7 -2 3.50
SP MLB Percentile 27 32 53 52 56 56 86 62 61 34
SP MLB AVG 2,010 4.98 46.0% 17.9% 36.1% 9.8% 4.9% 6.0 +1 3.29
Career 1,885 4.98 47.1% 18.1% 34.8% 12.3% 3.2% -0.2 -1 3.38
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