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Connelly Early

#71 - Starting Pitcher

Boston Red Sox

Bats / Throws Left / Left
Date of Birth 4/3/2002 (24)
Height, Weight 6'3", 195 lb
Hometown Midlothian, VA

2026 Season Stats

MLB Rank MLB Average
W-L IP ERA WHIP K% BB%
4-2 54.0 3.33 1.19 22.1% 8.4%
32nd 3
W
69th 43.0
IP
64th 4.50
ERA
75th 1.34
WHIP
90th 21.3%
K%
94th 9.3%
BB%
FB MPH SwStr% CSW% Str-ICR MTK% PLV PLA
93.8 10.0% 28.7% 52.2% 3.6% 4.93 3.49
118th 94.2
FB MPH
141st 11.4%
SwStr%
68th 27.6%
CSW%
45th 49.7%
Str-ICR
44th 4.7%
MTK%
128th 4.97
PLV
123rd 3.26
PLA
The List
Rank
43rd

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Connelly Early Overview

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Year Team G GS IP W-L QS ERA WHIP xERA FIP xFIP PLA K% BB% H/9 HR/9 BABIP HR/FB% LOB% ICR GB% SwStr% CSW% IPR PLV
2025 BOS 4 4 19.1 1-2 0 2.33 1.09 1.48 0.88 2.55 2.80 36.7% 5.1% 7.9 0.00 .378 0.0% 72.7% 40.0% 46.7% 17.3% 30.7% 0.62 5.19
2026 BOS 10 10 54.0 4-2 4 3.33 1.19 3.68 4.73 4.34 3.49 22.1% 8.4% 7.5 1.50 .252 20.9% 86.9% 36.2% 41.1% 10.0% 28.7% 0.52 4.93
SP MLB Percentile 45 57 64 72-50 66 68 62 66 36 42 39 55 52 58 29 69 39 93 72 41 29 64 72 33
SP MLB AVG 9 8 43.0 3-3 3 4.50 1.34 4.37 4.38 4.22 3.26 21.3% 9.3% 8.4 1.20 .285 19.1% 72.7% 38.7% 43.4% 11.4% 27.6% 0.47 4.97
Career 14 14 73.1 5-4 4 3.07 1.16 3.10 3.72 3.87 3.31 25.9% 7.5% 7.6 1.10 .282 16.1% 82.9% 37.1% 42.3% 11.9% 29.2% 0.55 5.00

Connelly Early Repertoire

2025 2026 All
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Connelly Early Game Log

Connelly Early Standard

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Year Team G GS IP W-L QS Sv Hld P Strikes Balls TBF H 1B 2B 3B HR K BB HB WP
2025 BOS 4 4 19.1 1-2 0 0 0 323 208 115 79 17 16 1 0 0 29 4 1 0
2026 BOS 10 10 54.0 4-2 4 0 0 891 575 316 226 45 29 7 0 9 50 19 5 3
SP MLB Percentile 45 57 64 72-50 66 0 0 64 65 39 61 46 43 52 44 12 69 28 3 5
SP MLB AVG 9 8 43.0 3-3 3 0 0 706 450 257 182 39 26 8 1 5 40 16 2 1
Career 14 14 73.1 5-4 4 0 0 1,214 783 431 305 62 45 8 0 9 79 23 6 3

Connelly Early Advanced

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Year Team K% BB% AVG SLG OPS wOBA BABIP BACON xAVG xwOBA xBABIP xwoBACON EV FB EV LA xERA
2025 BOS 36.7% 5.1% .230 .243 .521 .239 .378 .378 .166 .190 .273 .255 87.9 85.7 16.9 1.48
2026 BOS 22.1% 8.4% .224 .393 .698 .314 .252 .296 .204 .308 .223 .347 90.0 93.3 13.9 3.68
SP MLB Percentile 55 52 60 49 55 54 69 63 86 66 95 70 19 15 50 66
SP MLB AVG 21.3% 9.3% .244 .407 .728 .325 .285 .318 .246 .333 .285 .379 88.6 90.2 14.0 4.37
Career 25.9% 7.5% .225 .353 .651 .296 .282 .315 .194 .278 .235 .327 89.5 91.5 14.6 3.10

Connelly Early Pitch › Mix

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Year Team FF% (MPH) SI% (MPH) FC% (MPH) SL% (MPH) ST% (MPH) CB% (MPH) CH% (MPH) FS% (MPH) KN% (MPH) Fastball% Secondary%
2025 BOS 29.4% (94.0) 12.7% (93.0) - 12.1% (86.5) 5.3% (82.6) 21.1% (80.7) 19.5% (84.0) - - 42.1% 57.9%
2026 BOS 32.9% (93.8) 19.8% (92.2) - 7.1% (86.8) 6.4% (82.2) 12.5% (79.8) 21.4% (83.5) - - 52.6% 47.4%
SP MLB Percentile 48 (40) 58 (26) - 13 (58) 9 (47) 52 (46) 72 (17) - - 75.5% 24.0%
SP MLB AVG 33.5% (94.2) 20.4% (93.7) 17.0% (89.2) 18.7% (86.2) 16.0% (82.4) 14.5% (80.0) 16.7% (86.3) 20.1% (86.4) 27.6% (80.5) 46.6% 53.3%
Career 32.0% (93.9) 17.9% (92.3) - 8.4% (86.7) 6.1% (86.7) 14.7% (80.1) 20.9% (83.6) - - 49.8% 50.2%

Connelly Early Pitch › Results

Hide 2026 MLB Percentile | Hide 2026 MLB Average
Year Team FF CSW% SI CSW% FC CSW% SL CSW% ST CSW% CB CSW% CH CSW% FS CSW% KN CSW% Fastball CSW% Secondary CSW%
2025 BOS 30.5% (12) 39.0% (7) - 35.9% (6) 70.6% (9) 27.9% (13) 14.3% (9) - - 33.1% 28.9%
2026 BOS 28.0% (37) 36.4% (6) - 36.5% (6) 35.1% (10) 26.1% (8) 19.9% (22) - - 31.1% 26.1%
SP MLB Percentile 55 (83) 95 (50) - 85 (24) 83 (46) 28 (45) 28 (70) - - 88.5% 33.5%
SP MLB AVG 27.1% (23) 26.5% (8) 26.6% (12) 29.3% (18) 28.1% (14) 29.7% (13) 23.3% (17) 23.9% (24) 27.3% (11) 27.3% 27.7%
Career 28.6% (49) 36.9% (13) - 36.3% (12) 43.2% (19) 26.8% (21) 18.5% (31) - - 31.6% 26.9%

Connelly Early Batted Ball › Contact

Hide 2026 MLB Percentile | Hide 2026 MLB Average
Year Team GB% LD% FB% PU% SS% Pull% Cent% Oppo% Foul Str% PC% Fl&B% Solid% Brl% ICR
2025 BOS 46.7% 15.6% 28.9% 8.9% 28.9% 53.3% 31.1% 15.6% 19.8% 60.0% 31.1% 4.4% 4.4% 40.0%
2026 BOS 41.1% 21.9% 28.5% 8.6% 36.4% 46.1% 35.5% 18.4% 18.7% 63.6% 17.2% 6.6% 12.6% 36.2%
SP MLB Percentile 41 49 83 35 41 76 71 9 62 70 94 41 8 72
SP MLB AVG 43.4% 22.1% 23.9% 10.6% 35.4% 42.5% 32.7% 24.8% 18.1% 61.1% 24.4% 6.3% 8.3% 38.7%
Career 42.3% 20.4% 28.6% 8.7% 34.7% 47.7% 34.5% 17.8% 19.0% 62.8% 20.4% 6.1% 10.7% 37.1%

Connelly Early Batted Ball › Outcomes

Hide 2026 MLB Percentile | Hide 2026 MLB Average
Year Team AVG wOBA BABIP BACON xAVG xwOBA xBABIP xwoBACON EV FB EV LA HR/FB ICR IPA%
2025 BOS .230 .239 .378 .378 .166 .190 .273 .255 87.9 85.7 16.9 0.0% 40.0% 22.8%
2026 BOS .224 .314 .252 .296 .204 .308 .223 .347 90.0 93.3 13.9 20.9% 36.2% 24.3%
SP MLB Percentile 60 54 69 63 86 66 95 70 19 15 50 39 72 67
SP MLB AVG .244 .325 .285 .318 .246 .333 .285 .379 88.6 90.2 14.0 19.1% 38.7% 26.5%
Career .225 .296 .282 .315 .194 .278 .235 .327 89.5 91.5 14.6 16.1% 37.1% 23.9%

Connelly Early Approach › Plate Discipline

Hide 2026 MLB Percentile | Hide 2026 MLB Average
Year Team Zone% Str% Swing% O-Sw% Whiff% Foul Str% Con% Z-Con% O-Con% CS% SwStr% CSW% BIP% PLUS% IPR Str-ICR
2025 BOS 44.9% 64.4% 51.1% 37.1% 33.9% 19.8% 66.1% 75.8% 51.5% 13.3% 17.3% 30.7% 13.9% 59.1% 0.62 53.3%
2026 BOS 43.7% 64.5% 45.8% 33.7% 21.8% 18.7% 78.2% 89.1% 62.7% 18.7% 10.0% 28.7% 17.1% 59.5% 0.52 52.2%
SP MLB Percentile 33 65 31 72 31 62 31 18 35 88 29 64 42 73 72 77
SP MLB AVG 44.8% 63.4% 47.2% 31.3% 24.2% 18.1% 75.8% 85.1% 60.0% 16.2% 11.4% 27.6% 17.6% 57.8% 0.47 49.7%
Career 44.0% 64.5% 47.2% 34.6% 25.3% 19.0% 74.7% 85.2% 59.6% 17.3% 11.9% 29.2% 16.2% 59.4% 0.55 52.5%

Connelly Early Approach › Locations

Hide 2026 MLB Percentile | Hide 2026 MLB Average
Year Team Zone% aLoc% x-mLoc% gLoc% hiLoc% y-mLoc% loLoc% iLoc% oLoc% mmLoc%
2025 BOS 44.9% 42.4% 23.8% 33.7% 25.4% 27.9% 46.7% 32.2% 44.0% 6.5%
2026 BOS 43.7% 41.4% 23.9% 34.7% 34.5% 24.8% 40.7% 32.4% 43.7% 7.0%
SP MLB Percentile 33 84 90 39 45 21 43 76 59 63
SP MLB AVG 44.8% 35.5% 27.5% 36.9% 35.4% 22.7% 41.9% 29.4% 43.1% 6.6%
Career 44.0% 41.7% 23.9% 34.4% 32.0% 25.6% 42.3% 32.4% 43.7% 6.8%

Connelly Early Approach › Counts

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Year Team Early% Behind% 2-Str% Early BIP% F-Str% TF-Str% ECS% 2-Str O-Sw% PAR%
2025 BOS 59.4% 10.8% 29.7% 9.9% 59.5% 50.6% 15.6% 40.6% 30.2%
2026 BOS 58.5% 11.1% 30.5% 15.4% 62.8% 54.9% 25.3% 30.1% 18.4%
SP MLB Percentile 47 69 68 56 61 87 93 83 47
SP MLB AVG 58.6% 12.2% 29.3% 15.1% 61.0% 49.5% 20.8% 26.5% 18.6%
Career 58.7% 11.0% 30.3% 13.9% 62.0% 53.8% 22.7% 32.9% 21.5%

Connelly Early PLV

Hide 2026 MLB Percentile | Hide 2026 MLB Average
Year Team P PLV QP% AP% BP% Q-BP% MTK% HP HL PLA
2025 BOS 323 5.19 51.4% 18.3% 30.3% 21.1% 2.2% -1.9 +1 2.80
2026 BOS 891 4.93 47.6% 18.1% 34.3% 13.2% 3.6% 0.3 -4 3.49
SP MLB Percentile 64 33 62 58 72 72 75 57 73 39
SP MLB AVG 706 4.97 46.5% 17.4% 36.1% 10.4% 4.7% 1.9 +0 3.26
Career 1,214 5.00 48.6% 18.1% 33.3% 15.3% 3.2% -1.6 -3 3.31
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